Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.021457 0.023047 0.024702 0.026555 0.028575 0.030712 0.033146
2024-10-27 0.018989 0.021304 0.023841 0.026836 0.030284 0.034144 0.038809
2024-11-03 0.017186 0.019917 0.023026 0.026846 0.031438 0.036808 0.043610
2024-11-10 0.016023 0.019065 0.022640 0.027179 0.032833 0.039698 0.048750
2024-11-17 0.014790 0.017983 0.021832 0.026858 0.033308 0.041392 0.052425
2024-11-24 0.013858 0.017174 0.021264 0.026737 0.033952 0.043259 0.056370
2024-12-01 0.012957 0.016327 0.020569 0.026368 0.034200 0.044566 0.059592
2024-12-08 0.012344 0.015800 0.020233 0.026421 0.034970 0.046571 0.063862
2024-12-15 0.011646 0.015114 0.019637 0.026067 0.035135 0.047717 0.066951
2024-12-22 0.010961 0.014403 0.018960 0.025548 0.035013 0.048421 0.069402
2024-12-29 0.010440 0.013884 0.018511 0.025308 0.035255 0.049633 0.072659
2025-01-05 0.009960 0.013394 0.018072 0.025050 0.035440 0.050748 0.075814
2025-01-12 0.009409 0.012785 0.017442 0.024486 0.035145 0.051136 0.077872
2025-01-19 0.009148 0.012572 0.017362 0.024722 0.036060 0.053418 0.083131
2025-01-26 0.008837 0.012273 0.017140 0.024727 0.036612 0.055152 0.087600
2025-02-02 0.008634 0.012118 0.017117 0.025028 0.037633 0.057681 0.093586
2025-02-09 0.008282 0.011727 0.016727 0.024736 0.037687 0.058629 0.096887
2025-02-16 0.008001 0.011431 0.016463 0.024626 0.038020 0.060048 0.101108
2025-02-23 0.007681 0.011062 0.016072 0.024292 0.037961 0.060788 0.104139
2025-03-02 0.007476 0.010859 0.015925 0.024339 0.038535 0.062640 0.109353
2025-03-09 0.007193 0.010526 0.015563 0.024018 0.038462 0.063349 0.112445
2025-03-16 0.006892 0.010153 0.015123 0.023547 0.038103 0.063524 0.114504
2025-03-23 0.006665 0.009888 0.014843 0.023329 0.038171 0.064464 0.118128